Statistical-Analysis on LegalRealist AIhttps://legalrealist.ai/tags/statistical-analysis/Recent content in Statistical-Analysis on LegalRealist AIHugo -- gohugo.ioenhi@legalrealist.ai (LegalRealist AI)hi@legalrealist.ai (LegalRealist AI)© 2026 LegalRealist AIWed, 20 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000I Built the Backtest: What Excluded Medicare Providers Look Like Before They Get Caughthttps://legalrealist.ai/posts/37-backtest-results/Wed, 20 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000hi@legalrealist.ai (LegalRealist AI)https://legalrealist.ai/posts/37-backtest-results/The previous post described a Medicare fraud backtest nobody had built. I built it. 289 excluded providers across 41 states, matched to pre-exclusion billing data, compared against 3.39 million peers. Thirteen of fifteen features showed statistically significant differences — and the behavioral fingerprint is consistent enough to predict fraud in providers who were never excluded.